50 years 'Limits to Growth' – where are we now, where should we go?

Meyer, M. & Best, A. (2022): 50 years 'Limits to Growth' – where are we now, where should we go? Background paper for the European Resource Forum 2022, Berlin.

Abstract

Appearing in 1972, shortly before the OPEC oil crisis, the book “Limits to Growth” was a wakeup call to the world about the risks posed by resource scarcity. It also ushered in the use of computer-based modelling to play out potential scenarios of the future and report results across multiple indicators. Indicators and modelling are now central elements of the “language” around sustainability. But the debate continues: what are the limits to growth? Can we decouple resource use from economic activity in a way that enables growth to continue? How do we stay within a "safe operating space" for the planet? Without growth, how could we effectively ensure the existence of jobs and social stability while fighting poverty?