Auswirkungen des demografischen Wandels auf die Branchen in Deutschland und potenzielle Rückwirkungen auf Hamburg

The aim of this study is to analyse the impact of demographic change on Germany and the consequences for the Federal Land Hamburg. Opportunities and challenges are identified showing the fields for political action in Hamburg. The results base on a scenario analysis using four different population projections. The total effect of demographic change on the single sectors of the economy (private and public demand, investment, export etc.), the private consumption structure, the labour market, unit costs and selected economic activities can be broken down in a quantity and a structural effect.

Sonnenburg, A., Stöver, B., Ulrich, P. & Wolter, M. I. (2015): Auswirkungen des demographischen Wandels auf Branchen in Deutschland und potenzielle Rückwirkungen auf Hamburg – Endbericht. Studie im Auftrag der Freien und Hansestadt Hamburg, Behörde für Wirtschaft, Verkehr und Innovation, Hamburg.
Stöver, B. & Wolter, M. I. (2015): Demographic Change and Consumption – How Ageing Affects the Level and Structure of Private Consumption. In: Meade, D.S. (ed.): In Quest of the Craft – Economic Modeling for the 21st Century, Firenze University Press, pp. 195–209. DOI: 10.1400/234111.