Black swans (risks) in the energy transition
The energy transition is a long-term transformation of the German energy system. With the time horizon the probability of rare and unforeseen, but powerful incidents increases. In the project the impact of these kinds of black swans on the energy transition are analyzed. The focus is on different risk categories (economy, policy, climate and environment, infrastructure etc.) applying qualitative (ia.a expert interviews) and quantitative methods. Political and economic options for reaction and preventation are identified and assessed.
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Our figure of the month 08/2022: A development against the trend: growth in the number of apprentices for the occupation of plant mechanic for sanitary, heating, and air-conditioning technology in the last decade
Both the German government's heat pump offensive and the sharp rise in energy prices due to Russia's war against Ukraine are currently boosting demand for heat pumps and solar thermal systems…
Our figure of the month 05/2022: Strong increase in timber prices due to rising global demand, supply bottlenecks and trade embargoes
Forestry and sawmills benefit
After both raw wood prices and industrial producer prices for wood in Germany stagnated for years or declined from mid-2018 to the end of 2020, they have since…