Business Cycle, Economic Activities and International Trade

The main focus in this Research Area is on analysing economic activity levels. Taking a bottom-up approach, domestic economic growth is determined on the basis of sector-specific business cycle developments. One special focus lies on the international trade interdependencies of the German economy with regard to trading partners and the structure of goods.

QuBe data portal

The QuBe project group, which consists of the Institute for Employment Research (IAB), the Federal Institute for Vocational Education and Training (BIBB) and the Institute of Economic Structures Research (GWS) was formed 2006 to depict requirements for future qualification levels and professional fields. A unique modelling framework for balancing supply and demand on the job market on national level and for six regions was developed. The model is composed of two projection modules (IAB/INFORGE, BIBB/FIT) and based on a comprehensive data set on the characterization of the demand and supply site of the German labor market. The findings of the BIBB-IAB qualification- and occupation-projections (QuBe) are available online (https://www.bibb.de/de/qube_datenportal.php). Potential developments of labor supply and demand are obtainable. The results can be sorted by occupational fields, requirement levels and qualifications as well as by persons and working hours.

Projects

Quarterly update of sectoral analysis and forecasting
Sectoral analysis and forecasting
Study on the need for commercial space in the Emscher-Lippe region
Comparative Quantitative Data Analysis for Logistic and E-Commerce Sector in France and Germany
Development of Sustainable Mining Strategies in Chile with a Regionalized National Model (BMBF FKZ: 01DN16030)
Development Planning Training Course (June 3rd to 22nd 2018, Ulan Batar (Mongolei))
Development of analytical tools based on Input-Output table
Sustainable Economic Development
Extension of the model calculations on the future labour demand by occupation and qualification until 2030
Feasible Futures for the common good. Energy Transition Paths in a Period of Increasing Resource Scarcities
Forecasting the Egyptian Labour Market
Development of a Russian economy-environment-emission-model (e3.ru) for simulation and projection
Customer segmentation based sales forecst
Data supply of the INFORGE model
Gesamtwirtschaftliche Effekte der Umsetzung der EU-Ziele im Bereich Erneuerbare Energien und Gebäudeeffizienz in Österreich bis 2020
Erneuerbare Energien in Österreich: Modellierung möglicher Entwicklungsszenarien bis 2020
Development of a macro-econometric forecasting and simulation model
MaRisk_Teilprojekt: A1 Branchenschocks-Wirkungszusammenhang von Schocks in bestimmten Branchen auf andere Branchen
Mitarbeit an der Erstellung von Stresstestszenarien – Pilot-Projekt in der Sparkasse Giessen
Bürgschaftsbanken
IWC 2010

Publications