Based on an overview of current costs of manufacturing vehicles in the major global auto markets it is analyzed how major trends in each market are likely to affect these costs through time. The project is led by Ricardo AEA. Different pricing strategies and international comparativeness are analyzed to understand how well positioned the various markets are and how the EU auto industry could best position itself to take advantage of these global trends and ensure that it maintains or grows its market share in the future. The model GINFORS_E will be applied to develop different scenarios of global automotive market development until 2030 and beyond to quantify opportunities for EU manufacturers.
In order to successfully implement climate protection in key areas, such as energy, industry, transport, households, trade / commerce / services, agriculture, forestry and waste management, a wide range of goods and services is needed. This range has grown substantially in recent years. Several studies have confirmed the German economy is highly competitive in the field of climate protection goods and technologies. Currently, the diverse opportunities resulting from climate change are overlooked in the discussion focusing mainly on costs. These opportunities include the positive impact on employment and overall economic benefits, as well as imports reduced. The study analyses these opportunities and presents in a format open to public discussion.
Distributional effects of climate mitigation and energy transition policies have to be analysed precisely to prevent negative impacts on low income groups and increase public acceptance. It is important to highlight benefits of the energy transition while discussing the energy price design. GWS will quantify effects of policy options developed by project partners in work package 3. The project is lead by adelphi research, Berlin. Further project partner are Green Budget Germany (FÖS) and the research center for sustainable development and climate policy.
Business start-up activities should be a catalyst for innovation and employment within the energy transition. The GWS together with the Renewable Energy Agency on behalf of the Hessen Agentur investigate on how the start-up activities in the energy sector have developed. Special focus is on the fields of climate protection and electric mobility in recent years. The purpose is to capture trends in the state of Hesse and to understand specific challenges and barriers to business start-ups in these particular business fields. To achieve this quantitative analysis is performed and interviews are conducted with institutions and start-ups.
The energy transition is a long-term transformation of the German energy system. With the time horizon the probability of rare and unforeseen, but powerful incidents increases. In the project the impact of these kinds of black swans on the energy transition are analyzed. The focus is on different risk categories (economy, policy, climate and environment, infrastructure etc.) applying qualitative (ia.a expert interviews) and quantitative methods. Political and economic options for reaction and preventation are identified and assessed.
Three years after the decisions for the energy transition estimates on goal-achievment of energy policy and their effects on value added and employment are available at the national level. The question of how the energy transition affects individual federal states and spread the observable and measurable economic effects in the region is largely unanswered. This question will pursue the question for the state of Baden-Württemberg.
The focus of the studie are the impact of energy policy on value added and employment in Baden-Württemberg in the context of the specific structure of the country as well as its energy policy objectives. In particular opportunities and challenges for the economy and society for as many aspects of energy policy are to be presented jointly. This involves a description of the effects of energy policy both on the numerical amounts of value creation and employment (project module A) as well as on the quality of employment (project module B).
In this research project, we estimates future professional qualification requirements in grid-based utility companies following the energy transition. The project bases on the findings ""Future developments in the energy sector as part of the energy revolution, IZES and BIBB 2014.
The following key questions are addressed:
- How will the energy system develop in grid-connected sources by the year 2020 to 2030?
- What priorities are particularly promising for energy companies?
-What professional qualification profiles are relevant?
- What employment effects will result?
Tunisia as the most successful country in implementing the ideas of the Arab Spring has to face a number of challenges. On the one hand considerable unemployment, especially among youth and well-trained teen has to be handled, on the other hand energy supply has to be able to meet growing demands reliably and at reasonable prices. The Tunisian Solar Plan set in 2008 the framework for an expansion of renewable energy and the strengthening of energy efficiency. The GWS has carried out an evaluation of the employment effects of the Solar Plan in co-operation with Tunisian consultancy Alcor. Instruments and measures have evolved since then, so now with a new investigation an update will be presented.
The project „Approaches for further development of public finances” addresses the question of how fiscal policy can be leveraged to improve the policy framework for sustainable economic activity. One aspect of this framework concerns the political shaping of energy prices. Numerous exemptions from taxes, levies and fees reduce energy prices, particularly those faced by manufacturing industry. Lower energy prices reduce incentives for energy efficiency as well as prices for energy intensively manufactured products. A second work package takes a look at environmentally harmful subsidies. Among others reform proposals for taxes and subsidies in transport are simulated with the model PANTA RHEI.
The project in cooperation with adelphi Research looked at international aspects of the German Energiewende. GWS has focused on analyzing global value chains in renewable energy technologies and identified opportunities and challenges in international trade for the German industry. Different scenarios have been analyzed with the economy-energy-environment model GINFORS_E. Results show how different developments will influence value added and production through deployment of renewable energy sources.