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Projecttitle:
Auswirkungen des demografischen Wandels auf die Branchen in Deutschland und potenzielle Rückwirkungen auf Hamburg
Project description:

The aim of this study is to analyse the impact of demographic change on Germany and the consequences for the Federal Land Hamburg. Opportunities and challenges are identified showing the fields for political action in Hamburg. The results base on a scenario analysis using four different population projections. The total effect of demographic change on the single sectors of the economy (private and public demand, investment, export etc.), the private consumption structure, the labour market, unit costs and selected economic activities can be broken down in a quantity and a structural effect.

Duration:
2013
2014
Details
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Projecttitle:
Extension of the model calculations on the future labour demand by occupation and qualification until 2030
Project description:

The aim of the project was to extend the labour market of the structural input-output model IAB/INFORGE with two further dimensions: occupation and qualification. Future labour demand (until 2030) was not only identified by 63 industrial sectors, but also by 54 occupational fields and formal qualification levels. The definition of occupation follows the approach by the Federal Institute for Vocational Education and Trianing (BIBB). Qualification levels were classified in accordance to ISCED definition of the UN. The model extension allowed for the first time the comparison of labour demand and labour supply on the level of occupational fields. Occupation-specific scarcities on the labour market were possible to be identified.

Duration:
2013
2014
Details
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Projecttitle:
Extension of the model calculations on the future labour demand by occupation and qualification until 2030
Project description:

Entwicklung eines endogenisierten Ausgleichsmechanismus zwischen erlerntem und ausgeübtem Beruf im Rahmen des QuBe-Projektes.

Duration:
2012
2014
Details
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Projecttitle:
Update and advancement of the BIBB-DEMOS model
Project description:

A new baseline scenario was generated with the updated BIBB-DEMOS model. Preperations were made to allow for the integration of the population projection of the FIT model. Further, scenarios and sensitivity analysis were performed with the new and updated model.

Duration:
2012
2014
Details
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Projecttitle:
Computer based estimation of employment trends in economic sectors in Germany
Project description:

For each year of the project duration, i.e. from 2010 until 2014, GWS provides the German Federal Employment Agency (Bundesagentur für Arbeit) with an estimation of the German labour market for the current year as well as the coming year. By using the sectorally deeply disaggregated macroeconomic model INFORGE, GWS makes a projection on the employment development in each of the 59 economic sectors according to the WZ structure (German version of NACE). The projections will take into account possible structural changes as well as cyclical trends of the economy.

Duration:
2010
2014
Details
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Projecttitle:
Computer based estimation of employment trends in economic sectors in Germany
Project description:

Es soll in den Jahren 2010 bis 2014 für das aktuelle und das jeweils folgende Jahr eine Vorausschätzung der Beschäftigungsverhältnisse in Deutschland durchgeführt werden. Unter Zuhilfenahme des sektoral tief gegliederten Modells INFORGE werden für 59 Wirtschaftsbereiche die Zahl der sozialversicherungspflichtig Beschäftigten projiziert und etwaige strukturelle Veränderungen im Zuge der konjunkturellen Entwicklung aufgedeckt.

Duration:
2010
2014
Details
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Projecttitle:
Household income project study
Project description:

Against the background of strong economic growth and socio-economic change in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, household income development should be closely monitored. Saudi Aramco has commissioned a study to GWS for the projection of future household income. The analysis should provide information for possible governmental interventions to correct the future path of household income. The objectives of the study in detail are:

  • The aggregate forecast of household income in Saudi Arabia for the period 2013-2035
  • Estimation of the number of future Saudi households by size and working members
  • Macroeconomic model for Saudi economy based on national accounts data
  • Projection of income as a function of GDP and based on sources of income

Evaluation of possible interventions by the government to improve the future levels of household income.

Duration:
2013
2013
Details
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Projecttitle:
Feasible Futures for the common good. Energy Transition Paths in a Period of Increasing Resource Scarcities
Project description:

In diesem Projekt wurde der Frage nachgegangen, inwiefern der Ausbau erneuerbarer Energien zu neuen Importabhängigkeiten bei Metallrohstoffen (seltene Erden) führt. Viele EE-Technologien setzen Materialien wie Gallium, Yttrium etc. ein, deren Reserven begrenzt sind. Das Projekt führt die Begrenzungen für verschiedene relevante Stoffe auf unter Berücksichtigung globaler Ausbaupfade für EE und analysierte die Preiswirkungen auf die EE-Technologien. Die Auswirkungen der Rohstoffknappheiten und Preissteigerungen auf die österreichische Wirtschaft wurden mit dem Umwelt-Energie-Wirtschafts-Modell „e3.at“ untersucht.

Duration:
2010
2013
Details
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Projecttitle:
Ökosoziale Steuerstrukturreform in Österreich
Project description:

Das Ziel des Projektes war die Erarbeitung eines umsetzbaren Konzepts einer ökosozialen Steuerstrukturreform in Österreich. Die ÖSSR berücksichtigt die drei Dimensionen der Nachhaltigkeit: Der Ressourcen- und Energieverbrauch (einschl. der CO2-Emissionen) soll reduziert werden (ökologische Dimension) und das zusätzliche Steuervolumen soll genutzt werden, um den Faktor Arbeit zu entlasten (ökonomische Dimension) sowie verteilungspolitische Ziele zu erreichen (soziale Dimension). Zur Abschätzung der Wirkungen wurden verschiedene Simulationen mit dem österreichischen Umwelt-Energie-Wirtschaftsmodell „e3.at“ gerechnet.

Duration:
2012
2012
Details
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Projecttitle:
Forecasting the Egyptian Labour Market
Project description:

Under the roof of the TVET Reform Program of the European Commission and the Egyptian government, the GWS developed in collaboration with the IDSC (Information and Decision Support Center of the Egyptian Observatory for Education, Training and Employment) an analytical tool to evaluate the Egyptian labour market. Based on time series analysis, a quantitative projection model was developed in order to match labour demand and supply on occupational as well as on qualification level. The projection horizon was set until 2016. The overall aim was to develop a system, that was able to identify malfunctioning and disequilibrium on the labour market and that could be applied for conducting labour market policy.

Duration:
2012
2012
Details