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Projecttitle:
Quarterly update of sectoral analysis and forecasting
Project description:

The German Savings Bank Association and publishing house receive a quarterly update of the sectoral forecast. The forecast is update in the context of current economic developments.

Duration:
2012
fortlaufend
Details
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Projecttitle:
Sectoral analysis and forecasting
Project description:

The German Savings Bank Association and publishing house uses for its information platform regularly updated forecasts of turnover and cost items on a highly disaggregated level of industrial classification (NACE-2008). The aim is to validate the developments of single industries in the current economic situation.

Duration:
2006
fortlaufend
Details
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Projecttitle:
Further development of the BMAS-Expert Monitoring
Project description:

In the area of securing skilled labor, forecasts on future developments in the labor market and Germany's economic structure are of particular importance.

The BMAS Expert Monitoring was set up for the first time in 2017 to reliably assess future labor market developments over the next 20 years. This will be continued with the QuBe consortium together with the BMAS. Alternative scenarios are to be developed jointly in order to be able to draw up recommendations for action.

In the next four years, the focus will be on medium-term forecasts, climate, trade, gender and regions.

Duration:
2021
2024
Details
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Projecttitle:
To provide socially necessary services: Is working for the common good attractive?
Project description:

GenDis investigates the social situation, occupational mobility and occupational motivation of service workers producing public goods. Particular attention is paid to occupations in which contradictions between the relevance to the common good and working conditions are commonplace or in which personnel bottlenecks are predicted. The project aims to find out under which conditions people of working age are also prepared in the future to engage professionally in socially necessary services (e.g. health, security, education).

The Sociological Research Institute Göttingen (SOFI)  is leading the project, evaluating survey and process data and carrying out qualitative analyses. Scientific cooperation partners in the project are the  BIBB (Federal Institute for Vocational Education and Training) and the GWS.

Duration:
2019
2023
Details
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Projecttitle:
Policy Dialogue and Knowledge Management on Low Emissions (DIAPOL-CE) – Climate-economy modelling in Rwanda and Uganda
Project description:

Uganda and Rwanda have committed to take climate action by ratifying the Paris Agreement, thereby contributing to the goal to limit global average temperature increase well below 2°C.

The macroeconomic implications of CO2 mitigation strategies in these countries have been scarcely explored. The project aims to close this gap and to identify sustainable transformation pathways towards a low-carbon economy.

For this purpose, two country-specific models will be (further) developed jointly with local partners, which map the interrelationships between economy and environment.

The environmental-economic effects of various climate protection scenarios will then be calculated using these models, thus supporting evidence-based policy advice.

Further Information

 

Duration:
2021
2022
Details
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Projecttitle:
Policy advice for climate-resilient economic development
Project description:

Climate change has a substantial impact on economic growth and a country’s development. This increases the need for reliable and viable approaches to assessing the impact of climate risks and potential adaptation scenarios.
The project consortium will support the pilot countries (Georgia, Kazakhstan and Vietnam) in (i) expanding their model-building capacities with regard to the integration of climate change into economic models, (ii) integrating the results into the political (climate change adaptation) process and (iii) strengthening international cooperation between governments, international organisations and in development cooperation.

Further information on the project, in particular on the three macroeconomic models, is summarized here.

Duration:
2019
2022
Details
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Projecttitle:
Future developments in qualification and occupation - modell calculation until 2030
Project description:

In 2006, the QuBe-project group -- consisting of the Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Federal Institute for Vocational Education and Training (BIBB), Fraunhofer Institute for Applied Information Technology (FIT) and Institute of Economic Research (GWS) -- was formed with the aim to adequately address future qualification and occupational requirements. A unique system of two projection modules (IAB / INFORGE and BIBB / FIT) that are based on a sophisticated labour-specific dataset allow for balancing labour demand and supply on the national as well as on the regional level. To perpetuate the collaboration with regard to content and methodology, the cooperation has now been approved with a frame contract. The update and further development of the projection model IAB / INFORGE and up to three simulations per year form the bases of the prolonged contract. The specification of the simulation and methodological advancement are subject to close consultation with the IAB.

Duration:
2014
2016
Details
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Projecttitle:
Bereitstellung und Aktualisierung von "QINFORGE" bis 2035
Project description:

Als Teil der QuBe-Kooperation konzentriert sich das BIBB_QuBe-Projekt auf die Modellierung des zukünftigen Angebots von Erwerbspersonen bis zum Jahr 2035. Dabei wird sowohl nach Altersgruppen, Geschlecht, Ausbildungsstatus, Qualifikationsniveau und erlerntem Beruf differenziert als auch nach Regionen. Das Arbeitsangebot wird dabei nicht nur in Köpfen, sondern auch in Stunden (Arbeitsvolumenpotenzial) ausgewiesen.
Das zugrundeliegende Analyseinstrument ist das Modell QINFORGE, welches den berufsspezifischen Bedarf an Arbeitskräften sowohl nach der Anzahl der Erwerbstätigen als auch nach den benötigten Stunden ermittelt. Darauf aufbauend ist es möglich, das ermittelte Arbeitsangebot der Arbeitsnachfrage nach einzelnen Berufsgruppen gegenüberzustellen. Ziel ist es, mögliche Engpässe bei Berufsgruppen offenzulegen.

Duration:
2018
2022
Details
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Projecttitle:
Labor market effects of a climate-neutral development path by 2030
Project description:

The aim of the project is to estimate how the implementation of the measures required to achieve a climate-neutral economy by 2050 will affect employment. The employment effects are calculated up to 2030. The packages of measures are specifications from Prognos et al. (2020). The employment effects are calculated in the QINFORGE model, which is currently in its 6th wave (Maier et al. 2020).

Duration:
2021
2021
Details
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Projecttitle:
Studie zum Pendleraufkommen in der Stadt Osnabrück
Project description:

Wie stellt sich die aktuelle Einpendelsituation der Stadt Osnabrück dar und welche Entwicklung hat sie in den letzten Jahren genommen? Es werden empirische Auswertungen der Einpendelverkehre sowohl hinsichtlich des aktuellen Standes als auch hinsichtlich der Entwicklung seit 2010 durchgeführt. Auf Basis bestehender Arbeiten werden die wesentlichen Einflussgrößen  und  Motive für das Pendelverhalten dargelegt. Um den Methodenmix zu vervollständigen, werden mit wichtigen Arbeitgebern der Stadt die derzeitige Struktur und die zukünftigen Anforderungen an den Pendelverkehr diskutiert. Auch der Trend des mobilen Arbeitens findet Eingang in die Untersuchung.

Duration:
2020
2020
Details